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Original Comment At the current rate of growth, Silverlight will be around 70% by the end of this year.

Unless the trend changes, Silverlight will be around 80% by end of 2012. But I don't think it will lever get over 90%. It might get over 90% only if Moonlight releases a version that is as fast & robust as Silverlight 4.

Flash is an old design. Silverlight is better designed but is practically Windows-only. Apple wants native apps written in Objective C++. Google wants Java apps on Android. HTML5 won't be finalized for years. IE9 only supports about 60% of HTML5 draft specs today and won't even install on Windows XP. It isn't easy choosing which platforms to use right now.
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